Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
| Money | L-MD +650 COLG -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +14 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -11.8 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -12.3 (-1.7) | 130.8 (+7.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -12.5 (-1.5) | 133.1 (+4.9) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -12.0 (-2.0) | 130.3 (+7.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -11.1 (-2.9) | 132.7 (+5.3) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | COLG 90 – 77 L-MD |
| Feb 21, 2026 | COLG 101 – 98 L-MD |
| Jan 15, 2026 | COLG 86 – 80 L-MD |
| Feb 23, 2025 | L-MD 84 – 65 COLG |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COLG 82 – 68 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 16-2 |
| Home | 2-11 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-13 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 64.9 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#342) | 1.9 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.00 (#354) | 0.46 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.94 (#360) | 0.42 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.373 (#356) | 0.542 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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