Betting Lines
| Spread | UVA -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | SYR +188 UVA -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVA +5 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | UVA -4.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVA -3.0 (-2.0) | 134.9 (-5.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVA -2.0 (-3.0) | 133.8 (-4.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVA -3.8 (-1.2) | 136.5 (-7.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVA -3.3 (-1.7) | 136.9 (-7.9) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVA 72 – 59 SYR |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SYR 84 – 70 UVA |
| Dec 2, 2023 | UVA 84 – 62 SYR |
| Jan 7, 2023 | UVA 73 – 66 SYR |
| Jan 1, 2022 | UVA 74 – 69 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | UVA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-7 | 15-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 60.5 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#98) | 12.9 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#107) | 2.95 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#94) | 3.85 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#113) | 0.630 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | UVA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.