Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | KC -138 SDST +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +1 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | KC -0.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -0.3 (-0.7) | 132.4 (+0.6) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -1.0 (+0.0) | 129.5 (+3.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -0.4 (-0.6) | 130.9 (+2.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -0.2 (-0.8) | 132.1 (+0.9) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | SDST 73 – 59 KC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SDST 90 – 62 KC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | SDST 70 – 65 KC |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SDST 65 – 64 KC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | KC 72 – 67 SDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 6-8 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#241) | -1.1 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#235) | 0.25 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#252) | -0.07 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#227) | 0.539 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 37.2% | 19.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.