Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -200 ALCN +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +3 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -7.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -5.1 (-8.1) | 138.5 (-15.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -3.9 (-6.9) | 137.4 (-14.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -4.9 (-7.9) | 138.0 (-15.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -4.8 (-7.8) | 137.1 (-14.1) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | GRAM 74 – 50 ALCN |
| Feb 4, 2025 | ALCN 60 – 53 GRAM |
| Feb 6, 2024 | GRAM 78 – 67 ALCN |
| Feb 1, 2022 | GRAM 80 – 73 ALCN |
| Feb 9, 2021 | GRAM 67 – 62 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-2 |
| Away | 9-6 | 10-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#216) | -6.3 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#160) | -0.35 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#149) | -0.33 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#189) | 0.480 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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