Betting Lines
| Spread | ALCN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | ALCN -110 GRAM +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +5 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -3.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -1.8 (-3.2) | 139.0 (-10.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -0.2 (-4.8) | 135.5 (-6.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -2.0 (-3.0) | 139.8 (-10.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -2.6 (-2.4) | 138.7 (-9.7) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | GRAM 74 – 50 ALCN |
| Feb 4, 2025 | ALCN 60 – 53 GRAM |
| Feb 6, 2024 | GRAM 78 – 67 ALCN |
| Jan 31, 2023 | ALCN 63 – 60 GRAM |
| Feb 1, 2022 | GRAM 80 – 73 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALCN | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-13 | 12-12 |
| Conference | 6-7 | 9-6 |
| Home | 4-3 | 6-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -16.3 (#341) | -10.2 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#322) | -1.16 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.44 (#332) | -1.94 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#281) | 0.446 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALCN | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.48 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.7% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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