Betting Lines
| Spread | ALCN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +7 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | ALCN -8.7 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALCN -6.4 (-13.4) | 140.7 (+12.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALCN -5.8 (-12.8) | 139.7 (+13.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALCN -5.9 (-12.9) | 140.5 (+12.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ALCN -5.7 (-12.7) | 140.9 (+12.1) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | GRAM 74 – 50 ALCN |
| Feb 4, 2025 | ALCN 60 – 53 GRAM |
| Feb 6, 2024 | GRAM 78 – 67 ALCN |
| Jan 31, 2023 | ALCN 63 – 60 GRAM |
| Feb 9, 2021 | GRAM 67 – 62 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALCN | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 9-13 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#243) | -9.4 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#249) | -1.34 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#240) | -1.79 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#197) | 0.445 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALCN | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.