Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | ALCN +180 GRAM -218 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +24 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -5.7 (-18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -3.4 (-20.6) | 140.2 (-16.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -3.5 (-20.5) | 136.1 (-12.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -3.3 (-20.7) | 142.3 (-18.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -3.9 (-20.1) | 142.1 (-18.1) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2025 | ALCN 60 – 53 GRAM |
| Feb 6, 2024 | GRAM 78 – 67 ALCN |
| Jan 31, 2023 | ALCN 63 – 60 GRAM |
| Feb 1, 2022 | GRAM 80 – 73 ALCN |
| Feb 9, 2021 | GRAM 67 – 62 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALCN | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 2-18 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -16.6 (#353) | -7.9 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#323) | -0.97 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#319) | -1.51 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#336) | 0.455 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALCN | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 34.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.6% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 63.0% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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