Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | SC +350 MSST -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +15 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | MSST -12.8 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -11.4 (-3.6) | 130.8 (-13.8) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -11.5 (-3.5) | 128.8 (-11.8) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -11.2 (-3.8) | 132.1 (-15.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -12.5 (-2.5) | 131.8 (-14.8) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SC 97 – 89 MSST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MSST 65 – 60 SC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MSST 85 – 50 SC |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SC 93 – 89 MSST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SC 68 – 62 MSST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-8 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 61.0 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#289) | 9.6 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#209) | 1.51 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#235) | 1.92 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#244) | 0.548 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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