Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | SC +130 MSST -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +6 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | SC -0.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -2.3 (+3.7) | 134.6 (-4.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -1.3 (+4.7) | 133.2 (-3.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -3.6 (+2.4) | 135.9 (-5.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -3.1 (+2.9) | 137.3 (-7.3) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SC 97 – 89 MSST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MSST 65 – 60 SC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MSST 85 – 50 SC |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SC 93 – 89 MSST |
| Mar 1, 2023 | MSST 74 – 68 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#67) | 11.9 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.56 (#6) | 2.29 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.66 (#6) | 3.60 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#31) | 0.601 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 43.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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