Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | MSST -2500 SC +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +6 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MSST -18.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -14.2 (-8.2) | 132.4 (+9.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -13.3 (-7.3) | 134.4 (+7.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -13.8 (-7.8) | 131.0 (+11.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -14.4 (-8.4) | 131.5 (+10.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SC 97 – 89 MSST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MSST 65 – 60 SC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MSST 85 – 50 SC |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SC 93 – 89 MSST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SC 68 – 62 MSST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#41) | -4.1 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#47) | -0.06 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#49) | -0.32 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#70) | 0.479 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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