Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | SC -105 MSST -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +8 | 186 | Won |
| Massey | SC -1.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (+34.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -1.8 (+6.2) | 150.5 (+35.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -1.8 (+6.2) | 147.1 (+38.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -0.8 (+7.2) | 148.4 (+37.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -1.4 (+6.6) | 151.4 (+34.6) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2025 | MSST 65 – 60 SC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MSST 85 – 50 SC |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SC 93 – 89 MSST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SC 68 – 62 MSST |
| Mar 1, 2023 | MSST 74 – 68 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-8 | 8-8 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#97) | 6.8 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#138) | 1.27 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#100) | 1.94 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#222) | 0.532 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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