Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LEH -125 ARMY +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +2 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -1.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -1.7 (-3.7) | 141.4 (-1.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -0.5 (-2.5) | 140.9 (-0.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -2.1 (-4.1) | 141.7 (-1.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -1.7 (-3.7) | 142.3 (-2.3) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | ARMY 67 – 64 LEH |
| Dec 31, 2025 | ARMY 85 – 78 LEH |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LEH 89 – 67 ARMY |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ARMY 74 – 69 LEH |
| Feb 21, 2024 | LEH 85 – 54 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#256) | -3.0 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#190) | -0.97 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#203) | -1.01 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#169) | 0.448 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 19.8% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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