Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LEH -175 ARMY +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +5 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -5.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -4.1 (-9.1) | 144.0 (-1.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -4.0 (-9.0) | 143.2 (-0.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -4.4 (-9.4) | 144.1 (-1.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -3.7 (-8.7) | 145.9 (-2.9) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | ARMY 67 – 64 LEH |
| Dec 31, 2025 | ARMY 85 – 78 LEH |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LEH 89 – 67 ARMY |
| Feb 21, 2024 | LEH 85 – 54 ARMY |
| Feb 8, 2024 | ARMY 68 – 57 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-14 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#279) | -8.0 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#235) | -1.13 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#262) | -1.76 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#224) | 0.444 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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