Trouble's gonna come to you "Your Time is Gonna Come" - Led Zeppelin
Patriot League · Stabler Arena · January 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread LEH -3.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money LEH -175 / ARMY +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total LEH win
Actual ARMY +5 143 Lost
Massey LEH -5.6 (-10.6) — —
Massey Totals — 154.6 (-11.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 76% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 79% ✗
Baseline Plus ML LEH -3.7 (-8.7) 145.9 (-2.9) 68% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LEH -4.1 (-9.1) 144.0 (-1.0) 66% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML LEH -4.0 (-9.0) 143.2 (-0.2) 66% ✗
Baseline ML LEH -4.4 (-9.4) 144.1 (-1.1) 66% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 28, 2026 ARMY 67 – 64 LEH
Dec 31, 2025 ARMY 85 – 78 LEH
Mar 1, 2025 LEH 89 – 67 ARMY
Feb 21, 2024 LEH 85 – 54 ARMY
Feb 8, 2024 ARMY 68 – 57 LEH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LEH ARMY
Overall 11-19 17-16
Conference 6-12 10-8
Home 8-5 12-4
Away 3-14 4-11
Neutral 0-0 1-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.7 71.7
Avg Pts Against 72.2 76.5
Massey -6.5 (#279) -8.0 (#296)
Bradley-Terry -0.70 (#235) -1.13 (#274)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.29 (#262) -1.76 (#290)
RPI 0.471 (#224) 0.444 (#276)
Shooting & Four Factors LEH ARMY
FG% 41.7% 43.8%
3PT% 36.1% 33.2%
REB / G 29.8 35.9
OREB / G 7.2 10.1
AST / TO 1.22 1.38
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.7% 50.5%
TOV% 15.7% 15.4%
ORB% 20.0% 26.5%
FT Rate 20.6% 15.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.0% 53.9%
Opp TOV% 15.4% 14.8%
DRB% 68.1% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.5% 17.9%

Game Analysis

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