Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY +105 LEH -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -0.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (-24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -0.3 (+2.7) | 151.3 (-20.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -1.0 (+2.0) | 151.2 (-20.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -0.3 (+2.7) | 148.5 (-17.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -0.3 (+2.7) | 150.6 (-19.6) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | ARMY 85 – 78 LEH |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LEH 89 – 67 ARMY |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ARMY 74 – 69 LEH |
| Feb 21, 2024 | LEH 85 – 54 ARMY |
| Feb 8, 2024 | ARMY 68 – 57 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-10 | 13-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#336) | -8.6 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#320) | -1.68 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#330) | -2.62 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#308) | 0.425 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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