Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | LEH -205 ARMY +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +7 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -6.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -2.3 (-9.3) | 145.9 (+17.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -2.5 (-9.5) | 143.1 (+19.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -2.4 (-9.4) | 144.6 (+18.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -1.8 (-8.8) | 145.8 (+17.2) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | ARMY 67 – 64 LEH |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LEH 89 – 67 ARMY |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ARMY 74 – 69 LEH |
| Feb 21, 2024 | LEH 85 – 54 ARMY |
| Feb 8, 2024 | ARMY 68 – 57 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 6-10 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#302) | -11.5 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#338) | -1.25 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.78 (#344) | -2.20 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#334) | 0.431 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 62.4% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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