Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | ARMY +115 LEH -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +31 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -0.0 (-31.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -1.2 (-29.8) | 132.2 (+6.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -2.2 (-28.8) | 131.0 (+8.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -0.4 (-30.6) | 131.0 (+8.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -0.1 (-30.9) | 131.2 (+7.8) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | ARMY 67 – 64 LEH |
| Dec 31, 2025 | ARMY 85 – 78 LEH |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LEH 89 – 67 ARMY |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ARMY 74 – 69 LEH |
| Feb 8, 2024 | ARMY 68 – 57 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-11 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.9 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#315) | -6.0 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#339) | -2.04 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.58 (#335) | -2.17 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#333) | 0.439 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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