Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ARMY -185 LEH +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +22 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -2.8 (-24.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -3.0 (-25.0) | 142.9 (+13.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -2.8 (-24.8) | 142.5 (+13.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -2.6 (-24.6) | 139.7 (+16.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -2.8 (-24.8) | 140.5 (+15.5) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | ARMY 67 – 64 LEH |
| Dec 31, 2025 | ARMY 85 – 78 LEH |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ARMY 74 – 69 LEH |
| Feb 21, 2024 | LEH 85 – 54 ARMY |
| Feb 8, 2024 | ARMY 68 – 57 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#301) | -7.9 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#247) | -1.66 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#270) | -2.08 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#200) | 0.438 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 20.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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