Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | LEH -300 ARMY +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +11 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -9.0 (-20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -5.4 (-16.4) | 130.6 (-5.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -6.8 (-17.8) | 129.7 (-4.7) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -6.7 (-17.7) | 129.5 (-4.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -6.7 (-17.7) | 130.5 (-5.5) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | ARMY 67 – 64 LEH |
| Dec 31, 2025 | ARMY 85 – 78 LEH |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LEH 89 – 67 ARMY |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ARMY 74 – 69 LEH |
| Feb 21, 2024 | LEH 85 – 54 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-11 |
| Away | 8-11 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 59.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#271) | -10.9 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#343) | -2.80 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#325) | -3.18 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#309) | 0.367 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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