Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | BU -333 HC +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HC +12 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | BU -8.8 (-20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (+21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -5.8 (-17.8) | 133.2 (+18.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -7.8 (-19.8) | 132.6 (+19.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -6.0 (-18.0) | 132.7 (+19.3) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BU -6.3 (-18.3) | 133.2 (+18.8) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BU 78 – 63 HC |
| Feb 3, 2026 | BU 72 – 64 HC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | HC 72 – 52 BU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | BU 69 – 59 HC |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BU 94 – 84 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 6-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#257) | -10.2 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#277) | -1.99 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#283) | -2.27 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#270) | 0.412 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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