Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | PRES +230 RAD -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +8 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -8.2 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -8.1 (+0.1) | 129.2 (-3.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -6.4 (-1.6) | 127.3 (-1.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -8.3 (+0.3) | 130.7 (-4.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -7.9 (-0.1) | 131.8 (-5.8) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PRES 91 – 85 RAD |
| Jan 31, 2026 | RAD 93 – 84 PRES |
| Jan 8, 2026 | RAD 80 – 61 PRES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | RAD 74 – 69 PRES |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PRES 80 – 73 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-3 |
| Away | 0-15 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L18 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 66.2 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#333) | 1.5 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.05 (#358) | -0.05 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.19 (#352) | -0.04 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.348 (#362) | 0.508 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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