Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | ETSU +140 WOF -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETSU +25 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | ETSU -1.1 (+23.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -0.3 (+25.3) | 140.5 (-11.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -0.3 (+25.3) | 137.4 (-8.4) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -0.5 (+24.5) | 139.8 (-10.8) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -0.2 (+24.8) | 141.5 (-12.5) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | WOF 72 – 69 ETSU |
| Feb 2, 2026 | ETSU 86 – 72 WOF |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WOF 72 – 60 ETSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ETSU 73 – 68 WOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WOF 81 – 78 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-9 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#246) | -2.0 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#325) | -0.41 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#303) | -0.68 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#319) | 0.471 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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