Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | FLA +163 TENN -213 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +13 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -8.0 (+21.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -4.6 (+17.6) | 132.4 (-11.4) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -5.3 (+18.3) | 129.1 (-8.1) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -5.3 (+18.3) | 129.4 (-8.4) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -5.1 (+18.1) | 130.0 (-9.0) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | FLA 91 – 67 TENN |
| Mar 16, 2025 | FLA 86 – 77 TENN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TENN 64 – 44 FLA |
| Jan 8, 2025 | FLA 73 – 43 TENN |
| Jan 16, 2024 | TENN 85 – 66 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 57.9 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#42) | 21.9 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#65) | 3.10 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#63) | 3.69 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#72) | 0.635 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 38.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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