Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -500 FLA +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +19 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -9.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -8.7 (+10.3) | 159.5 (-8.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -9.3 (+9.7) | 156.4 (-5.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -9.8 (+9.2) | 160.4 (-9.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -8.6 (+10.4) | 157.2 (-6.2) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | FLA 91 – 67 TENN |
| Mar 16, 2025 | FLA 86 – 77 TENN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TENN 64 – 44 FLA |
| Jan 8, 2025 | FLA 73 – 43 TENN |
| Feb 2, 2023 | FLA 67 – 54 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 8-3 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 7-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 85.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 79.2 |
| Massey | 17.0 (#11) | 11.5 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.16 (#7) | 1.59 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.05 (#5) | 2.25 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.670 (#3) | 0.583 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 45.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 16.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 41.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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