Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -140 FLA +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +20 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -2.1 (+17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-29.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -2.7 (+17.3) | 137.3 (-29.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -3.9 (+16.1) | 135.3 (-27.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -2.3 (+17.7) | 133.5 (-25.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -2.9 (+17.1) | 136.0 (-28.0) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | FLA 91 – 67 TENN |
| Mar 16, 2025 | FLA 86 – 77 TENN |
| Jan 8, 2025 | FLA 73 – 43 TENN |
| Jan 16, 2024 | TENN 85 – 66 FLA |
| Feb 2, 2023 | FLA 67 – 54 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 36-4 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-4 |
| Home | 16-1 | 15-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 14-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W12 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 84.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 21.4 (#6) | 22.6 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.70 (#5) | 3.81 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.93 (#5) | 5.30 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.647 (#10) | 0.642 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 44.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 15.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 41.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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