Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -350 UNI +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +7 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -10.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (+35.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -10.3 (-3.3) | 140.7 (+28.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -9.2 (-2.2) | 138.0 (+31.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -10.3 (-3.3) | 140.1 (+28.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -10.4 (-3.4) | 142.7 (+26.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UNI 75 – 53 DRKE |
| Feb 15, 2026 | UNI 86 – 62 DRKE |
| Feb 23, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 58 UNI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 52 UNI |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UNI 91 – 77 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-8 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#86) | -0.7 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#82) | -0.14 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#77) | -0.07 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#70) | 0.498 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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