Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | IUIN +550 MILW -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +3 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -12.6 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -11.8 (+8.8) | 148.4 (-7.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -9.8 (+6.8) | 147.9 (-6.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -11.6 (+8.6) | 147.9 (-6.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -12.7 (+9.7) | 150.9 (-9.9) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | MILW 92 – 88 IUIN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MILW 95 – 83 IUIN |
| Feb 5, 2025 | MILW 84 – 80 IUIN |
| Dec 29, 2024 | MILW 88 – 81 IUIN |
| Feb 29, 2024 | MILW 75 – 70 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 14-6 |
| Home | 4-9 | 15-3 |
| Away | 0-15 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -17.0 (#360) | -0.9 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.76 (#362) | 0.32 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.32 (#362) | 0.05 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.343 (#363) | 0.532 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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