Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | MRMK -1200 LIU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +17 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -13.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -10.2 (+6.8) | 128.7 (+6.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -10.3 (+6.7) | 131.3 (+3.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -9.6 (+7.4) | 129.0 (+6.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -10.1 (+6.9) | 128.9 (+6.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2024 | MRMK 72 – 66 LIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MRMK 83 – 68 LIU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRMK 82 – 79 LIU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | MRMK 91 – 76 LIU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | MRMK 80 – 59 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 3-26 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 1-15 |
| Home | 10-6 | 2-10 |
| Away | 8-8 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W11 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.9 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.0 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#339) | -20.9 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#334) | -3.92 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#329) | -4.97 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#303) | 0.374 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 25.3 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 19.4% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 61.2% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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