Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | LIU +700 MRMK -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +21 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -8.3 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -8.5 (-12.5) | 127.8 (+11.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -8.0 (-13.0) | 133.3 (+5.7) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -9.2 (-11.8) | 130.7 (+8.3) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -8.0 (-13.0) | 129.8 (+9.2) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2024 | MRMK 72 – 66 LIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MRMK 83 – 68 LIU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRMK 82 – 79 LIU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | MRMK 91 – 76 LIU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | MRMK 76 – 59 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-26 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 12-4 |
| Home | 2-10 | 10-6 |
| Away | 1-14 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L8 | W11 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 61.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 64.0 |
| Massey | -21.0 (#363) | -9.1 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.22 (#363) | -1.41 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.25 (#363) | -1.74 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#360) | 0.464 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 27.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 26.2% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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