Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | MRMK -1600 LIU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +15 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -16.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.4 (+37.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -15.3 (-0.3) | 130.5 (+36.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -12.7 (+2.3) | 135.1 (+31.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -15.2 (-0.2) | 133.2 (+33.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -15.1 (-0.1) | 131.3 (+35.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2024 | MRMK 72 – 66 LIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MRMK 83 – 68 LIU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRMK 82 – 79 LIU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | MRMK 80 – 59 LIU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | MRMK 76 – 59 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 3-26 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 1-15 |
| Home | 10-6 | 2-10 |
| Away | 8-8 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W11 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.9 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.0 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#317) | -21.5 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#304) | -4.32 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#299) | -5.38 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#234) | 0.371 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 27.6 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.4% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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