Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | LIU +500 MRMK -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +3 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -11.3 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (+27.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -11.2 (+8.2) | 132.1 (+28.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -10.2 (+7.2) | 136.6 (+24.4) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -9.9 (+6.9) | 136.3 (+24.7) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -9.8 (+6.8) | 134.0 (+27.0) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2024 | MRMK 72 – 66 LIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MRMK 83 – 68 LIU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | MRMK 91 – 76 LIU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | MRMK 80 – 59 LIU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | MRMK 76 – 59 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 13-3 |
| Home | 5-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 1-17 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 64.6 |
| Massey | -15.7 (#356) | -1.0 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#339) | -0.41 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.89 (#342) | -0.59 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#343) | 0.501 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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