Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | MRMK -1400 LIU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +6 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -15.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -11.8 (-5.8) | 139.4 (-1.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -12.1 (-6.1) | 142.7 (-4.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -13.2 (-7.2) | 140.9 (-2.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -12.9 (-6.9) | 138.8 (-0.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2024 | MRMK 83 – 68 LIU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRMK 82 – 79 LIU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | MRMK 91 – 76 LIU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | MRMK 80 – 59 LIU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | MRMK 76 – 59 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 6-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 5-4 |
| Away | 7-9 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#188) | -14.3 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#213) | -2.28 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#221) | -2.76 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#134) | 0.391 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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