Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | MRMK -900 LIU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +15 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -16.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -11.7 (+3.3) | 135.8 (+15.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -12.9 (+2.1) | 140.0 (+11.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -12.4 (+2.6) | 138.0 (+13.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -12.6 (+2.4) | 136.5 (+14.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2024 | MRMK 72 – 66 LIU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRMK 82 – 79 LIU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | MRMK 91 – 76 LIU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | MRMK 80 – 59 LIU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | MRMK 76 – 59 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 6-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 5-4 |
| Away | 7-9 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#185) | -14.5 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#200) | -2.30 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#213) | -2.80 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#156) | 0.392 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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