Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | PAC -115 PEPP -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | PAC -3.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -3.4 (+4.6) | 161.9 (-7.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -2.8 (+5.2) | 162.9 (-8.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -2.7 (+5.3) | 159.8 (-5.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -3.2 (+4.8) | 160.9 (-6.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | PAC 92 – 59 PEPP |
| Jan 5, 2026 | PAC 74 – 69 PEPP |
| Jan 26, 2025 | PEPP 60 – 44 PAC |
| Jan 5, 2025 | PEPP 87 – 70 PAC |
| Mar 7, 2024 | PEPP 102 – 43 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 2-14 |
| Home | 7-10 | 8-8 |
| Away | 7-7 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 81.8 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#206) | -1.1 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#206) | -1.00 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#197) | -0.69 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#255) | 0.466 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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