I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
Big Sky Conference · The Nest · February 3, 2023
Betting Lines
O/U 137.5 Over
Money SAC +110 / EWU -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total SAC win
Actual EWU +19 145 Lost
Massey SAC -1.5 (-20.5) — —
Massey Totals — 139.8 (+5.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 47% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 49% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SAC -0.3 (-19.3) 137.2 (+7.8) 39% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ EWU -0.3 (-18.7) 136.1 (+8.9) 40% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SAC -0.2 (-19.2) 140.1 (+4.9) 50% ✗
Baseline ML EWU -0.2 (-18.8) 140.1 (+4.9) 43% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 EWU 102 – 94 SAC
Jan 24, 2026 EWU 75 – 67 SAC
Feb 7, 2025 EWU 83 – 80 SAC
Jan 11, 2025 EWU 65 – 54 SAC
Mar 10, 2024 SAC 74 – 69 EWU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SAC EWU
Overall 14-18 23-11
Conference 7-11 16-2
Home 9-4 11-1
Away 5-10 10-7
Neutral 0-4 2-3
Last 5 2-3 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 66.1 75.1
Avg Pts Against 69.2 72.0
Massey -0.9 (#186) 1.2 (#146)
Bradley-Terry -0.11 (#181) 0.67 (#115)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.13 (#186) 0.65 (#126)
RPI 0.493 (#185) 0.521 (#141)
Shooting & Four Factors SAC EWU
FG% 45.0% 47.1%
3PT% 36.5% 34.3%
REB / G 35.4 35.8
OREB / G 10.8 8.9
AST / TO 0.99 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.5% 54.7%
TOV% 21.1% 20.6%
ORB% 32.8% 28.3%
FT Rate 19.5% 22.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 50.1%
Opp TOV% 14.9% 16.9%
DRB% 74.0% 75.0%
Opp FT Rate 17.4% 22.0%

Game Analysis

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