Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | OMA +150 STMN -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +6 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | STMN -1.8 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+25.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -2.6 (-3.4) | 142.7 (+29.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -2.4 (-3.6) | 140.2 (+31.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -2.1 (-3.9) | 142.9 (+29.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -2.3 (-3.7) | 143.6 (+28.4) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | STMN 68 – 53 OMA |
| Feb 13, 2026 | OMA 98 – 94 STMN |
| Mar 10, 2025 | OMA 85 – 75 STMN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | STMN 95 – 84 OMA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | OMA 89 – 78 STMN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-15 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#300) | -2.3 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#268) | -0.13 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#275) | -0.50 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#259) | 0.484 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.