Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | STMN -340 OMA +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +11 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -8.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (+19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -7.8 (+3.2) | 157.6 (+21.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -8.4 (+2.6) | 154.6 (+24.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -7.3 (+3.7) | 155.5 (+23.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -7.1 (+3.9) | 156.1 (+22.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | STMN 68 – 53 OMA |
| Feb 13, 2026 | OMA 98 – 94 STMN |
| Mar 10, 2025 | OMA 85 – 75 STMN |
| Jan 24, 2025 | OMA 89 – 78 STMN |
| Mar 1, 2024 | STMN 88 – 61 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 13-3 |
| Home | 14-0 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#113) | -1.8 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#108) | -0.09 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#111) | -0.35 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#110) | 0.502 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.6% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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