Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | STMN -800 OMA +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +15 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -13.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-36.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -14.0 (+1.0) | 156.3 (-35.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -10.9 (+4.1) | 156.1 (-35.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -13.6 (+1.4) | 154.7 (-33.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -13.3 (+1.7) | 155.2 (-34.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | OMA 98 – 94 STMN |
| Mar 10, 2025 | OMA 85 – 75 STMN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | STMN 95 – 84 OMA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | OMA 89 – 78 STMN |
| Mar 1, 2024 | STMN 88 – 61 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 8-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#106) | -5.5 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#128) | -0.90 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#116) | -1.12 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#98) | 0.461 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.6% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.72 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.1% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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