Betting Lines
| Spread | CIT -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CIT -225 VMI +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +6 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | CIT -6.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIT -5.4 (-11.4) | 138.7 (+5.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIT -3.3 (-9.3) | 138.9 (+5.1) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIT -5.3 (-11.3) | 139.6 (+4.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -5.5 (-11.5) | 141.2 (+2.8) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | CIT 80 – 56 VMI |
| Jan 18, 2026 | CIT 82 – 68 VMI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | VMI 73 – 62 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VMI 82 – 70 CIT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VMI 75 – 70 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 2-16 |
| Home | 5-9 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 78.4 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#317) | -11.5 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#302) | -2.91 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#296) | -3.44 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#306) | 0.374 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 19.7% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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