Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | MCN -500 LAM +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +7 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -8.9 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -5.8 (-12.8) | 138.7 (-5.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -7.2 (-14.2) | 137.2 (-4.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -6.0 (-13.0) | 141.5 (-8.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -5.7 (-12.7) | 141.0 (-8.0) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | MCN 64 – 63 LAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MCN 82 – 70 LAM |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MCN 63 – 54 LAM |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MCN 68 – 66 LAM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MCN 75 – 64 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-23 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-8 | 6-9 |
| Away | 3-14 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -10.4 (#335) | -15.7 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#347) | -2.77 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.96 (#351) | -3.92 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#300) | 0.356 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.6% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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