Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | ODU +110 JMU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +5 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -3.6 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -2.3 (-2.7) | 142.6 (+8.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -1.8 (-3.2) | 140.4 (+10.6) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -2.1 (-2.9) | 141.4 (+9.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -2.5 (-2.5) | 142.2 (+8.8) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | JMU 70 – 69 ODU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | ODU 77 – 68 JMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JMU 68 – 54 ODU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | JMU 74 – 60 ODU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | JMU 78 – 63 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#167) | 7.2 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#156) | 0.39 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#158) | 0.91 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#135) | 0.518 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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