Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UTU +163 UVU -213 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +7 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -3.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -2.7 (-4.3) | 151.5 (-6.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -3.8 (-3.2) | 150.3 (-5.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -3.4 (-3.6) | 149.4 (-4.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -3.5 (-3.5) | 150.7 (-5.7) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UVU 104 – 101 UTU |
| Feb 13, 2026 | UTU 81 – 77 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UVU 92 – 76 UTU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UVU 74 – 57 UTU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVU 79 – 77 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-13 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#178) | 6.0 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#220) | 1.47 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#209) | 1.99 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#233) | 0.567 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.2% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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