I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Atlantic Sun Conference · Allen Arena · February 3, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread LIP -4.5 Home covered
O/U 155.5 Under
Money LIP -188 / QUC +145
Model Predictions
Spread Total LIP win
Actual LIP +6 126 Won
Massey LIP -3.7 (+2.3)
Massey Totals 155.3 (-29.3)
Bradley-Terry 50%
Weighted B-T 58%
Efficiency Plus ML LIP -0.2 (+5.8) 149.8 (-23.8) 61%
Baseline Tuned ML LIP -2.4 (+3.6) 154.2 (-28.2) 64%
Baseline ML LIP -2.6 (+3.4) 155.8 (-29.8) 65%
Baseline Plus ML LIP -2.1 (+3.9) 154.1 (-28.1) 66%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 QUC 8781 LIP
Mar 7, 2025 LIP 8175 QUC
Feb 8, 2025 LIP 9481 QUC
Jan 10, 2025 QUC 7573 LIP
Feb 9, 2024 LIP 9088 QUC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LIP QUC
Overall 20-13 18-15
Conference 11-7 7-11
Home 13-2 8-5
Away 7-11 7-10
Neutral 0-0 3-0
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.7 75.6
Avg Pts Against 72.6 75.5
Massey -1.1 (#191) -1.3 (#196)
Bradley-Terry -0.38 (#213) 0.25 (#151)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.42 (#203) 0.00 (#171)
RPI 0.483 (#206) 0.508 (#162)
Shooting & Four Factors LIP QUC
FG% 46.8% 44.9%
3PT% 34.4% 36.0%
REB / G 34.7 37.4
OREB / G 8.5 11.6
AST / TO 1.02 1.11
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.5% 53.1%
TOV% 19.1% 18.0%
ORB% 26.6% 32.3%
FT Rate 18.2% 25.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.4% 53.1%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 15.1%
DRB% 72.5% 73.2%
Opp FT Rate 17.4% 17.0%

Game Analysis

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