Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | LIP -600 QUC +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +6 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -12.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -12.6 (-6.6) | 146.4 (+9.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -10.6 (-4.6) | 147.2 (+8.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -12.5 (-6.5) | 145.2 (+10.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -11.6 (-5.6) | 145.7 (+10.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | QUC 87 – 81 LIP |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LIP 94 – 81 QUC |
| Jan 10, 2025 | QUC 75 – 73 LIP |
| Feb 9, 2024 | LIP 90 – 88 QUC |
| Feb 3, 2023 | LIP 66 – 60 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 10-6 | 9-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#87) | -2.8 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#115) | -0.23 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#105) | -0.55 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#88) | 0.492 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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