Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -1600 QUC +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +2 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -17.6 (-19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -14.0 (-16.0) | 150.3 (-2.3) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -13.8 (-15.8) | 145.1 (+2.9) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -14.7 (-16.7) | 146.7 (+1.3) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -15.2 (-17.2) | 146.2 (+1.8) | 88% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | QUC 87 – 81 LIP |
| Mar 7, 2025 | LIP 81 – 75 QUC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LIP 94 – 81 QUC |
| Feb 9, 2024 | LIP 90 – 88 QUC |
| Feb 3, 2023 | LIP 66 – 60 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 10-6 | 9-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#71) | -5.3 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#79) | -0.26 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#72) | -0.63 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#78) | 0.478 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.1% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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