Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
Atlantic Sun Conference · Allen Arena · January 10, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread LIP -13.5 Away covered
O/U 153.5 Under
Money LIP -1600 / QUC +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total LIP win
Actual QUC +2 148 Lost
Massey LIP -17.6 (-19.6) — —
Massey Totals — 144.4 (+3.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✗
Baseline Plus ML LIP -15.2 (-17.2) 146.2 (+1.8) 88% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LIP -14.0 (-16.0) 150.3 (-2.3) 87% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML LIP -13.8 (-15.8) 145.1 (+2.9) 88% ✗
Baseline ML LIP -14.7 (-16.7) 146.7 (+1.3) 87% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 QUC 87 – 81 LIP
Mar 7, 2025 LIP 81 – 75 QUC
Feb 8, 2025 LIP 94 – 81 QUC
Feb 9, 2024 LIP 90 – 88 QUC
Feb 3, 2023 LIP 66 – 60 QUC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LIP QUC
Overall 25-10 20-15
Conference 14-4 11-7
Home 15-3 9-5
Away 10-6 9-9
Neutral 0-1 2-1
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.0 75.9
Avg Pts Against 68.2 76.3
Massey 8.2 (#71) -5.3 (#257)
Bradley-Terry 1.12 (#79) -0.26 (#192)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.78 (#72) -0.63 (#213)
RPI 0.556 (#78) 0.478 (#206)
Shooting & Four Factors LIP QUC
FG% 46.1% 43.0%
3PT% 33.1% 33.5%
REB / G 34.8 36.0
OREB / G 8.1 11.0
AST / TO 1.37 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.0% 51.0%
TOV% 16.5% 19.9%
ORB% 24.4% 28.8%
FT Rate 20.8% 20.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.6% 52.8%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 16.8%
DRB% 71.9% 67.0%
Opp FT Rate 13.1% 19.6%

Game Analysis

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