Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Over |
| Money | LIP -333 QUC +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +2 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -10.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -9.6 (-7.6) | 163.5 (+14.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -8.1 (-6.1) | 163.6 (+14.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -8.6 (-6.6) | 162.9 (+15.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -8.8 (-6.8) | 162.5 (+15.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | QUC 87 – 81 LIP |
| Mar 7, 2025 | LIP 81 – 75 QUC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LIP 94 – 81 QUC |
| Jan 10, 2025 | QUC 75 – 73 LIP |
| Feb 3, 2023 | LIP 66 – 60 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-8 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 82.6 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#166) | -7.2 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#163) | -0.74 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#174) | -1.07 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#171) | 0.459 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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