Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Over |
| Money | QUC -162 LIP +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +6 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -1.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -1.2 (+4.8) | 160.8 (+7.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -0.8 (+5.2) | 159.5 (+8.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -1.0 (+5.0) | 159.0 (+9.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -0.5 (+5.5) | 160.7 (+7.3) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2025 | LIP 81 – 75 QUC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LIP 94 – 81 QUC |
| Jan 10, 2025 | QUC 75 – 73 LIP |
| Feb 9, 2024 | LIP 90 – 88 QUC |
| Feb 3, 2023 | LIP 66 – 60 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-2 | 13-1 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.8 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#215) | -1.1 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#222) | -0.12 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#228) | -0.19 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#209) | 0.532 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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