Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | QUC +135 LIP -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +13 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -4.9 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+32.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -2.6 (-10.4) | 144.4 (+30.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -2.2 (-10.8) | 142.0 (+33.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -2.8 (-10.2) | 143.5 (+31.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -2.8 (-10.2) | 144.4 (+30.6) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | QUC 87 – 81 LIP |
| Mar 7, 2025 | LIP 81 – 75 QUC |
| Jan 10, 2025 | QUC 75 – 73 LIP |
| Feb 9, 2024 | LIP 90 – 88 QUC |
| Feb 3, 2023 | LIP 66 – 60 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-4 |
| Home | 9-5 | 15-3 |
| Away | 9-9 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#210) | 5.6 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#171) | 0.37 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#196) | 0.81 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#178) | 0.521 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 14.1% |
Game Analysis
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