Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SDAK +100 NDSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +9 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -1.3 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -0.9 (+9.9) | 148.7 (-15.7) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -1.9 (+10.9) | 144.9 (-11.9) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -0.5 (+9.5) | 147.2 (-14.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -0.8 (+9.8) | 148.6 (-15.6) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NDSU 89 – 84 SDAK |
| Dec 31, 2025 | NDSU 84 – 61 SDAK |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SDAK 85 – 84 NDSU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | NDSU 82 – 78 SDAK |
| Jan 18, 2025 | NDSU 103 – 77 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#321) | -4.0 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#246) | -0.76 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#257) | -0.80 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#258) | 0.473 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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