Betting Lines
| Spread | USD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | USD -138 PORT +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +19 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | USD -1.8 (-20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.3 (-25.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -0.8 (-19.8) | 161.4 (-20.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USD -0.2 (-19.2) | 156.8 (-15.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -0.9 (-19.9) | 163.5 (-22.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USD -0.7 (-19.7) | 163.6 (-22.6) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PORT 87 – 74 USD |
| Feb 12, 2026 | USD 71 – 58 PORT |
| Mar 2, 2025 | USD 82 – 80 PORT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PORT 92 – 82 USD |
| Feb 16, 2024 | USD 71 – 66 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 5-11 |
| Home | 8-9 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.6 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#215) | -0.4 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#248) | -0.04 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#208) | 0.10 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#254) | 0.478 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.6% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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