Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Stony Brook Seawolves
55 69
FINAL Conference
Elon Phoenix
Coastal Athletic Association · Island FCU Arena · February 3, 2023
Betting Lines
O/U 132.5 Under
Money STBK -125 / ELON +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total STBK win
Actual ELON +14 124 Lost
Massey STBK -4.6 (-18.6)
Massey Totals 131.1 (-7.1)
Bradley-Terry 94%
Weighted B-T 93%
Efficiency Plus ML STBK -2.8 (-16.8) 133.4 (-9.4) 56%
Baseline Tuned ML STBK -3.0 (-17.0) 133.0 (-9.0) 64%
Baseline ML STBK -3.2 (-17.2) 135.0 (-11.0) 56%
Baseline Plus ML STBK -3.3 (-17.3) 129.8 (-5.8) 54%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 STBK 7268 ELON
Mar 1, 2025 STBK 7166 ELON
Feb 9, 2024 STBK 7964 ELON

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STBK ELON
Overall 11-22 8-24
Conference 6-12 6-12
Home 7-7 5-9
Away 3-13 3-12
Neutral 1-2 0-3
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 61.5 63.8
Avg Pts Against 69.9 72.2
Massey -9.3 (#325) -10.3 (#334)
Bradley-Terry -1.21 (#291) -3.38 (#361)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.65 (#294) -3.56 (#357)
RPI 0.442 (#291) 0.374 (#352)
Shooting & Four Factors STBK ELON
FG% 40.5% 40.7%
3PT% 30.3% 28.9%
REB / G 32.5 31.9
OREB / G 6.6 8.4
AST / TO 0.86 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.5% 46.7%
TOV% 18.9% 18.8%
ORB% 20.3% 24.2%
FT Rate 25.3% 21.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.9% 53.1%
Opp TOV% 13.8% 18.0%
DRB% 73.4% 67.7%
Opp FT Rate 17.4% 20.1%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.